Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
EVERBANK STADIUM · JACKSONVILLE, FL

Visitors 327 total, 201 passing, 127 rushing. Home 350 total, 227 passing, 123 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB48WASSLIGHTJAC+856JACMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackJAC edge
  • Dropback successJAC edge
  • Completion over expectedWAS edge
  • Turnover avoidanceWAS edge
  • Sack avoidanceWAS edge
Rush39WASCLEARJAC+1857JACMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAJAC edge
  • Rush successJAC edge
  • Stuff avoidanceJAC edge
  • Explosive runsWAS edge
  • Short yardageJAC edge
Pass48WASSLIGHTJAC+1058JACMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAJAC edge
  • Pass successJAC edge
  • Explosive passesJAC edge
  • ProtectionWAS edge
  • Completion over expectedWAS edge
Trenches45WASSLIGHTJAC+1055JACMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlJAC edge
  • Pass protectionWAS edge
  • Short-yardage blockingJAC edge
  • Stuff creationJAC edge
  • Pressure creationWAS edge
  • Short-yardage defenseJAC edge
Explosive48WASEVEN+553JACHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateJAC edge
  • Explosive passesJAC edge
  • Explosive runsWAS edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeJAC edge
  • Explosive preventionJAC edge
Resilience49WASSLIGHTJAC+655JACHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseWAS edge
  • Defensive responseJAC edge
  • Momentum reversalJAC edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksWAS edge
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
WASOFFENSEvsJACDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEWAS RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS53%SEASONJAC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS41%SEASONWAS SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONJAC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)27%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)WASRED ZONETRIPS / G2.7TOUCHDOWNS10FIELD GOALS6EMPTY3+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | WAS KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+57%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)JACOFFENSEvsWASDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEJAC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS68%SEASONWAS RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS79%SEASONJAC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)16%SEASONWAS FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)JACRED ZONETRIPS / G2.7TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS3EMPTY3+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | JAC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (WAS 7, JAC 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.