Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
GILLETTE STADIUM · FOXBOROUGH, MA

Visitors 279 total, 166 passing, 114 rushing. Home 367 total, 244 passing, 123 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB49MINSLIGHTMIN+643NEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackMIN edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedMIN edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMIN edge
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush44MINSLIGHTNE+750NEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANE edge
  • Rush successNE edge
  • Stuff avoidanceNE edge
  • Explosive runsNE edge
  • Short yardageMIN edge
Pass48MINEVEN+345NEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAMIN edge
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesMIN edge
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedMIN edge
Trenches49MINEVEN+251NEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlNE edge
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingMIN edge
  • Stuff creationNE edge
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseMIN edge
Explosive52MINEVEN+349NEHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMIN edge
  • Explosive passesMIN edge
  • Explosive runsNE edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeMIN edge
  • Explosive preventionMIN edge
Resilience55MINEVEN+154NEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNE edge
  • Defensive responseMIN edge
  • Momentum reversalNE edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMIN edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMIN edge
MINOFFENSEvsNEDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMIN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)16TRIPS56%SEASONNE RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS54%SEASONMIN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)25%SEASONNE FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MINRED ZONETRIPS / G2.3TOUCHDOWNS9FIELD GOALS4EMPTY3+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MIN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+75%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NEOFFENSEvsMINDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENE RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS55%SEASONMIN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)16TRIPS25%SEASONNE SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONMIN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)50%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NERED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS7EMPTY3+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NE KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 4960%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MIN 7, NE 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.