Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
RELIANT STADIUM · HOUSTON, TX

Visitors 350 total, 227 passing, 123 rushing. Home 338 total, 253 passing, 85 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB55JACEVEN+352HOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackJAC edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedHOU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceJAC edge
  • Sack avoidanceHOU edge
Rush62JACSTRONGJAC+2438HOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAJAC edge
  • Rush successJAC edge
  • Stuff avoidanceJAC edge
  • Explosive runsJAC edge
  • Short yardageJAC edge
Pass59JACSLIGHTJAC+554HOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAJAC edge
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesJAC edge
  • ProtectionHOU edge
  • Completion over expectedHOU edge
Trenches55JACCLEARJAC+1045HOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlJAC edge
  • Pass protectionHOU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingJAC edge
  • Stuff creationJAC edge
  • Pressure creationHOU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseJAC edge
Explosive58JACCLEARJAC+1247HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateJAC edge
  • Explosive passesJAC edge
  • Explosive runsJAC edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeJAC edge
  • Explosive preventionJAC edge
Resilience55JACEVEN+252HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseHOU edge
  • Defensive responseJAC edge
  • Momentum reversalJAC edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksHOU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceJAC edge
JACOFFENSEvsHOUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEJAC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS68%SEASONHOU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)19TRIPS68%SEASONJAC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)16%SEASONHOU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)JACRED ZONETRIPS / G2.7TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS3EMPTY3+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | JAC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)HOUOFFENSEvsJACDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEHOU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)25TRIPS60%SEASONJAC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS41%SEASONHOU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)20%SEASONJAC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)27%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)HOURED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS5EMPTY5+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | HOU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+86%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (JAC 7, HOU 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.