Gridiron Core

Visitors 332 total, 210 passing, 122 rushing. Home 390 total, 263 passing, 126 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB51ULMEVEN+152APPMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackAPP edge
  • Dropback successULM edge
  • Completion over expectedAPP edge
  • Turnover avoidanceAPP edge
  • Sack avoidanceULM edge
Rush46ULMEVEN+450APPMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAAPP edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceAPP edge
  • Explosive runsAPP edge
  • Short yardageULM edge
Pass50ULMEVEN+151APPMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAAPP edge
  • Pass successULM edge
  • Explosive passesAPP edge
  • ProtectionULM edge
  • Completion over expectedAPP edge
Trenches53ULMSLIGHTULM+547APPMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlAPP edge
  • Pass protectionULM edge
  • Short-yardage blockingULM edge
  • Stuff creationAPP edge
  • Pressure creationULM edge
  • Short-yardage defenseULM edge
Explosive41ULMCLEARAPP+1556APPHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateAPP edge
  • Explosive passesAPP edge
  • Explosive runsAPP edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeAPP edge
  • Explosive preventionAPP edge
Resilience47ULMEVEN+451APPHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseAPP edge
  • Defensive responseAPP edge
  • Momentum reversalAPP edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksULM edge
  • Mistake avoidanceAPP edge
ULMOFFENSEvsAPPDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEULM RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS64%SEASONAPP RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS62%SEASONULM SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONAPP FORCED FG(DEFENSE)35%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ULMRED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS4EMPTY4+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ULM KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2950%30 - 39100%40 - 4925%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)APPOFFENSEvsULMDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEAPP RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)35TRIPS63%SEASONULM RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS62%SEASONAPP SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONULM FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)APPRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS7EMPTY6+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | APP KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3986%40 - 4975%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ULM 8, APP 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.