Gridiron Core

Visitors 409 total, 224 passing, 185 rushing. Home 319 total, 170 passing, 149 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB46UTSAEVEN+343UABMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUAB edge
  • Dropback successUTSA edge
  • Completion over expectedUTSA edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUAB edge
  • Sack avoidanceUAB edge
Rush58UTSACLEARUTSA+1346UABHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUTSA edge
  • Rush successUTSA edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUTSA edge
  • Explosive runsUTSA edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass43UTSAEVEN+241UABMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUAB edge
  • Pass successUTSA edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionUAB edge
  • Completion over expectedUTSA edge
Trenches54UTSASLIGHTUTSA+746UABMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUTSA edge
  • Pass protectionUAB edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationUTSA edge
  • Pressure creationUAB edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive51UTSASLIGHTUTSA+744UABHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUTSA edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsUTSA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionUTSA edge
Resilience55UTSASLIGHTUTSA+650UABHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUTSA edge
  • Defensive responseUTSA edge
  • Momentum reversalUTSA edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUAB edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUAB edge
UTSAOFFENSEvsUABDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUTSA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS59%SEASONUAB RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS63%SEASONUTSA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)31%SEASONUAB FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UTSARED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS8EMPTY5+12 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UTSA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 4975%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)UABOFFENSEvsUTSADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUAB RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS36%SEASONUTSA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS61%SEASONUAB SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)50%SEASONUTSA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UABRED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS8FIELD GOALS10EMPTY4+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UAB KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 4980%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (UTSA 8, UAB 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.