Gridiron Core

Visitors 355 total, 217 passing, 137 rushing. Home 335 total, 188 passing, 147 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB40AKRCLEARMASS+1353MASSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackMASS edge
  • Dropback successMASS edge
  • Completion over expectedMASS edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMASS edge
  • Sack avoidanceMASS edge
Rush55AKREVEN+352MASSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAMASS edge
  • Rush successAKR edge
  • Stuff avoidanceAKR edge
  • Explosive runsAKR edge
  • Short yardageAKR edge
Pass40AKRCLEARMASS+1352MASSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAMASS edge
  • Pass successMASS edge
  • Explosive passesMASS edge
  • ProtectionMASS edge
  • Completion over expectedMASS edge
Trenches46AKRSLIGHTMASS+854MASSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlAKR edge
  • Pass protectionMASS edge
  • Short-yardage blockingAKR edge
  • Stuff creationAKR edge
  • Pressure creationMASS edge
  • Short-yardage defenseAKR edge
Explosive47AKREVEN+451MASSHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMASS edge
  • Explosive passesMASS edge
  • Explosive runsAKR edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeMASS edge
  • Explosive preventionMASS edge
Resilience41AKRSLIGHTMASS+647MASSHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseAKR edge
  • Defensive responseMASS edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMASS edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMASS edge
AKROFFENSEvsMASSDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEAKR RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)28TRIPS57%SEASONMASS RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS57%SEASONAKR SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONMASS FORCED FG(DEFENSE)39%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)AKRRED ZONETRIPS / G3.1TOUCHDOWNS16FIELD GOALS6EMPTY6+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | AKR KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4945%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MASSOFFENSEvsAKRDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMASS RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS57%SEASONAKR RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS53%SEASONMASS SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONAKR FORCED FG(DEFENSE)40%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MASSRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS7EMPTY3+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MASS KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 490%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (AKR 9, MASS 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.