Gridiron Core

Visitors 419 total, 206 passing, 213 rushing. Home 383 total, 193 passing, 190 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB44USACLEARUL+1458ULMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUL edge
  • Dropback successUL edge
  • Completion over expectedUL edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceUSA edge
Rush53USAEVEN+356ULHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUL edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceUSA edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageUL edge
Pass43USACLEARUL+1457ULMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUL edge
  • Pass successUL edge
  • Explosive passesUL edge
  • ProtectionUSA edge
  • Completion over expectedUL edge
Trenches51USAEVEN+249ULMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUSA edge
  • Pass protectionUSA edge
  • Short-yardage blockingUL edge
  • Stuff creationUSA edge
  • Pressure creationUSA edge
  • Short-yardage defenseUL edge
Explosive46USASLIGHTUL+854ULHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUL edge
  • Explosive passesUL edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeUL edge
  • Explosive preventionUL edge
Resilience46USACLEARUL+1157ULHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUL edge
  • Defensive responseUL edge
  • Momentum reversalUL edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUL edge
USAOFFENSEvsULDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUSA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS66%SEASONUL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS68%SEASONUSA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)25%SEASONUL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)18%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)USARED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | USA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 4967%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ULOFFENSEvsUSADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS69%SEASONUSA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)36TRIPS78%SEASONUL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)19%SEASONUSA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)11%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ULRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS6EMPTY4+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (USA 8, UL 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.