Gridiron Core

Visitors 352 total, 194 passing, 157 rushing. Home 348 total, 228 passing, 120 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB43NDSUSLIGHTNDSU+638SJSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNDSU edge
  • Dropback successNDSU edge
  • Completion over expectedNDSU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceNDSU edge
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush52NDSUCLEARNDSU+1537SJSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANDSU edge
  • Rush successNDSU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceNDSU edge
  • Explosive runsNDSU edge
  • Short yardageSJSU edge
Pass44NDSUSLIGHTNDSU+638SJSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANDSU edge
  • Pass successNDSU edge
  • Explosive passesNDSU edge
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedNDSU edge
Trenches53NDSUSLIGHTNDSU+647SJSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlNDSU edge
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingSJSU edge
  • Stuff creationNDSU edge
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseSJSU edge
Explosive55NDSUCLEARNDSU+1243SJSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNDSU edge
  • Explosive passesNDSU edge
  • Explosive runsNDSU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeNDSU edge
  • Explosive preventionNDSU edge
Resilience52NDSUEVEN+152SJSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNDSU edge
  • Defensive responseSJSU edge
  • Momentum reversalNDSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksSJSU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceSJSU edge
NDSUOFFENSEvsSJSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENDSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS61%SEASONSJSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS59%SEASONNDSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONSJSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)21%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NDSURED ZONETRIPS / G3.4TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS7EMPTY5+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NDSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)SJSUOFFENSEvsNDSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATESJSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS46%SEASONNDSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)14TRIPS43%SEASONSJSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)46%SEASONNDSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)SJSURED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS11EMPTY3+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | SJSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4960%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NDSU 9, SJSU 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.