Gridiron Core

Visitors 358 total, 275 passing, 83 rushing. Home 357 total, 212 passing, 145 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB49CALEVEN+251UVAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUVA edge
  • Dropback successUVA edge
  • Completion over expectedUVA edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceCAL edge
Rush47CALSLIGHTUVA+855UVAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUVA edge
  • Rush successUVA edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUVA edge
  • Explosive runsUVA edge
  • Short yardageUVA edge
Pass46CALEVEN+450UVAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUVA edge
  • Pass successUVA edge
  • Explosive passesUVA edge
  • ProtectionCAL edge
  • Completion over expectedUVA edge
Trenches50CALEVEN+150UVAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUVA edge
  • Pass protectionCAL edge
  • Short-yardage blockingUVA edge
  • Stuff creationUVA edge
  • Pressure creationCAL edge
  • Short-yardage defenseUVA edge
Explosive42CALCLEARUVA+1556UVAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUVA edge
  • Explosive passesUVA edge
  • Explosive runsUVA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUVA edge
  • Explosive preventionUVA edge
Resilience44CALEVEN+143UVAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUVA edge
  • Defensive responseCAL edge
  • Momentum reversalCAL edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksCAL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceCAL edge
CALOFFENSEvsUVADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECAL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)27TRIPS56%SEASONUVA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS67%SEASONCAL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)33%SEASONUVA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CALRED ZONETRIPS / G3.0TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS8EMPTY4+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CAL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3988%40 - 4933%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)UVAOFFENSEvsCALDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUVA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS63%SEASONCAL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)35TRIPS63%SEASONUVA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)19%SEASONCAL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UVARED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS4EMPTY8+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UVA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3960%40 - 4980%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (CAL 9, UVA 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.