Gridiron Core

Visitors 369 total, 177 passing, 192 rushing. Home 404 total, 109 passing, 296 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB57TEMEVEN+156NAVYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNAVY edge
  • Dropback successTEM edge
  • Completion over expectedTEM edge
  • Turnover avoidanceNAVY edge
  • Sack avoidanceNAVY edge
Rush54TEMSLIGHTNAVY+660NAVYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successNAVY edge
  • Stuff avoidanceNAVY edge
  • Explosive runsTEM edge
  • Short yardageNAVY edge
Pass58TEMEVEN+157NAVYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANAVY edge
  • Pass successTEM edge
  • Explosive passesTEM edge
  • ProtectionNAVY edge
  • Completion over expectedTEM edge
Trenches45TEMCLEARNAVY+1055NAVYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlNAVY edge
  • Pass protectionNAVY edge
  • Short-yardage blockingNAVY edge
  • Stuff creationNAVY edge
  • Pressure creationNAVY edge
  • Short-yardage defenseNAVY edge
Explosive55TEMSLIGHTTEM+649NAVYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTEM edge
  • Explosive passesTEM edge
  • Explosive runsTEM edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeTEM edge
  • Explosive preventionTEM edge
Resilience55TEMSLIGHTTEM+946NAVYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseTEM edge
  • Defensive responseTEM edge
  • Momentum reversalTEM edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTEM edge
  • Mistake avoidanceTEM edge
TEMOFFENSEvsNAVYDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETEM RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)21TRIPS48%SEASONNAVY RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS65%SEASONTEM SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)38%SEASONNAVY FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TEMRED ZONETRIPS / G2.6TOUCHDOWNS10FIELD GOALS8EMPTY3+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TEM KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4971%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NAVYOFFENSEvsTEMDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENAVY RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)27TRIPS70%SEASONTEM RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)35TRIPS60%SEASONNAVY SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)22%SEASONTEM FORCED FG(DEFENSE)20%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NAVYRED ZONETRIPS / G3.4TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS6EMPTY2+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NAVY KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 490%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TEM 8, NAVY 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.