Gridiron Core

Visitors 476 total, 288 passing, 187 rushing. Home 296 total, 188 passing, 108 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB56TOLSTRONGTOL+1837SACMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackTOL edge
  • Dropback successTOL edge
  • Completion over expectedTOL edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceTOL edge
Rush53TOLCLEARTOL+1835SACMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATOL edge
  • Rush successTOL edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTOL edge
  • Explosive runsTOL edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass58TOLSTRONGTOL+2335SACMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPATOL edge
  • Pass successTOL edge
  • Explosive passesTOL edge
  • ProtectionTOL edge
  • Completion over expectedTOL edge
Trenches61TOLSTRONGTOL+2339SACMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTOL edge
  • Pass protectionTOL edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationTOL edge
  • Pressure creationTOL edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive63TOLDOMINANTTOL+2735SACHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTOL edge
  • Explosive passesTOL edge
  • Explosive runsTOL edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeTOL edge
  • Explosive preventionTOL edge
Resilience56TOLCLEARTOL+1146SACHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseTOL edge
  • Defensive responseSAC edge
  • Momentum reversalTOL edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTOL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceSAC edge
TOLOFFENSEvsSACDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETOL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)35TRIPS74%SEASONSAC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)32TRIPS69%SEASONTOL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONSAC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)19%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TOLRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS26FIELD GOALS5EMPTY4+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TOL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 4940%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)SACOFFENSEvsTOLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATESAC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS36%SEASONTOL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS56%SEASONSAC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)55%SEASONTOL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)36%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)SACRED ZONETRIPS / G2.4TOUCHDOWNS8FIELD GOALS10EMPTY4+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | SAC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2983%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TOL 8, SAC 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.