Gridiron Core

Visitors 399 total, 59 passing, 341 rushing. Home 361 total, 148 passing, 213 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB34AFCLEARUNM+1145UNMLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUNM edge
  • Dropback successUNM edge
  • Completion over expectedUNM edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUNM edge
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush45AFCLEARUNM+1156UNMHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUNM edge
  • Rush successUNM edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUNM edge
  • Explosive runsUNM edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass38AFSLIGHTUNM+847UNMLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUNM edge
  • Pass successUNM edge
  • Explosive passesAF edge
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedUNM edge
Trenches46AFSLIGHTUNM+954UNMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUNM edge
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationUNM edge
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive45AFCLEARUNM+1156UNMHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUNM edge
  • Explosive passesAF edge
  • Explosive runsUNM edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUNM edge
  • Explosive preventionUNM edge
Resilience50AFEVEN+347UNMHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseAF edge
  • Defensive responseUNM edge
  • Momentum reversalAF edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksAF edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUNM edge
AFOFFENSEvsUNMDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEAF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS67%SEASONUNM RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)14TRIPS36%SEASONAF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONUNM FORCED FG(DEFENSE)57%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)AFRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | AF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2967%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)UNMOFFENSEvsAFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUNM RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS74%SEASONAF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS61%SEASONUNM SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)16%SEASONAF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)22%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UNMRED ZONETRIPS / G3.9TOUCHDOWNS23FIELD GOALS3EMPTY5+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UNM KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2950%30 - 39—40 - 4980%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (AF 8, UNM 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.