Gridiron Core

Visitors 428 total, 208 passing, 220 rushing. Home 309 total, 210 passing, 100 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB42UCLACLEARUCLA+1626MINNMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUCLA edge
  • Dropback successUCLA edge
  • Completion over expectedUCLA edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUCLA edge
  • Sack avoidanceUCLA edge
Rush55UCLASTRONGUCLA+2531MINNMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUCLA edge
  • Rush successUCLA edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUCLA edge
  • Explosive runsUCLA edge
  • Short yardageUCLA edge
Pass44UCLACLEARUCLA+1430MINNMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUCLA edge
  • Pass successUCLA edge
  • Explosive passesUCLA edge
  • ProtectionUCLA edge
  • Completion over expectedUCLA edge
Trenches58UCLACLEARUCLA+1642MINNMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUCLA edge
  • Pass protectionUCLA edge
  • Short-yardage blockingUCLA edge
  • Stuff creationUCLA edge
  • Pressure creationUCLA edge
  • Short-yardage defenseUCLA edge
Explosive58UCLASTRONGUCLA+1939MINNHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUCLA edge
  • Explosive passesUCLA edge
  • Explosive runsUCLA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUCLA edge
  • Explosive preventionUCLA edge
Resilience51UCLASLIGHTUCLA+645MINNHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUCLA edge
  • Defensive responseUCLA edge
  • Momentum reversalUCLA edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMINN edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMINN edge
UCLAOFFENSEvsMINNDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUCLA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)36TRIPS58%SEASONMINN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS63%SEASONUCLA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)19%SEASONMINN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)25%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UCLARED ZONETRIPS / G4.5TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS6EMPTY9+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UCLA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2975%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MINNOFFENSEvsUCLADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMINN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)28TRIPS54%SEASONUCLA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS50%SEASONMINN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)36%SEASONUCLA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)22%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MINNRED ZONETRIPS / G3.5TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS10EMPTY3+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MINN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (UCLA 8, MINN 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.