Gridiron Core

Visitors 514 total, 291 passing, 223 rushing. Home 404 total, 109 passing, 296 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB67MEMDOMINANTMEM+2640NAVYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackMEM edge
  • Dropback successMEM edge
  • Completion over expectedMEM edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMEM edge
  • Sack avoidanceMEM edge
Rush59MEMEVEN+059NAVYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANAVY edge
  • Rush successMEM edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsNAVY edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass67MEMSTRONGMEM+2343NAVYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAMEM edge
  • Pass successMEM edge
  • Explosive passesMEM edge
  • ProtectionMEM edge
  • Completion over expectedMEM edge
Trenches52MEMEVEN+548NAVYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionMEM edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationMEM edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive54MEMEVEN+351NAVYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMEM edge
  • Explosive passesMEM edge
  • Explosive runsNAVY edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeMEM edge
  • Explosive preventionMEM edge
Resilience54MEMSLIGHTMEM+846NAVYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseMEM edge
  • Defensive responseMEM edge
  • Momentum reversalMEM edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMEM edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMEM edge
MEMOFFENSEvsNAVYDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMEM RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)43TRIPS60%SEASONNAVY RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS65%SEASONMEM SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONNAVY FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MEMRED ZONETRIPS / G4.8TOUCHDOWNS26FIELD GOALS10EMPTY7+18 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MEM KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NAVYOFFENSEvsMEMDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENAVY RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)27TRIPS70%SEASONMEM RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONNAVY SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)22%SEASONMEM FORCED FG(DEFENSE)19%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NAVYRED ZONETRIPS / G3.4TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS6EMPTY2+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NAVY KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 490%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MEM 9, NAVY 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.