Gridiron Core

Visitors 326 total, 208 passing, 118 rushing. Home 352 total, 194 passing, 157 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB36NIUSTRONGNDSU+2359NDSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNDSU edge
  • Dropback successNDSU edge
  • Completion over expectedNDSU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceNDSU edge
  • Sack avoidanceNDSU edge
Rush48NIUCLEARNDSU+1260NDSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANDSU edge
  • Rush successNDSU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceNDSU edge
  • Explosive runsNIU edge
  • Short yardageNDSU edge
Pass36NIUSTRONGNDSU+2460NDSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANDSU edge
  • Pass successNDSU edge
  • Explosive passesNDSU edge
  • ProtectionNDSU edge
  • Completion over expectedNDSU edge
Trenches42NIUCLEARNDSU+1558NDSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlNDSU edge
  • Pass protectionNDSU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingNDSU edge
  • Stuff creationNDSU edge
  • Pressure creationNDSU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseNDSU edge
Explosive46NIUSLIGHTNDSU+854NDSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNDSU edge
  • Explosive passesNDSU edge
  • Explosive runsNIU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeNDSU edge
  • Explosive preventionNDSU edge
Resilience44NIUSLIGHTNDSU+852NDSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNDSU edge
  • Defensive responseNDSU edge
  • Momentum reversalNDSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksNDSU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceNIU edge
NIUOFFENSEvsNDSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENIU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS47%SEASONNDSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)14TRIPS43%SEASONNIU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)16%SEASONNDSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NIURED ZONETRIPS / G2.4TOUCHDOWNS9FIELD GOALS2EMPTY8+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NIU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3950%40 - 4960%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NDSUOFFENSEvsNIUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENDSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS61%SEASONNIU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)34TRIPS68%SEASONNDSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONNIU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)12%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NDSURED ZONETRIPS / G3.4TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS7EMPTY5+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NDSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NIU 8, NDSU 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.