Gridiron Core

Visitors 535 total, 332 passing, 203 rushing. Home 443 total, 257 passing, 186 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB64MIAEVEN+064NDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackMIA edge
  • Dropback successND edge
  • Completion over expectedMIA edge
  • Turnover avoidanceND edge
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush50MIAEVEN+050NDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAND edge
  • Rush successND edge
  • Stuff avoidanceMIA edge
  • Explosive runsMIA edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass63MIAEVEN+162NDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAMIA edge
  • Pass successND edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedMIA edge
Trenches51MIAEVEN+249NDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlMIA edge
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationMIA edge
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive50MIAEVEN+050NDHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsMIA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeND edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience60MIAEVEN+060NDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseMIA edge
  • Defensive responseND edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMIA edge
  • Mistake avoidanceND edge
MIAOFFENSEvsNDDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMIA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)43TRIPS79%SEASONND RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS61%SEASONMIA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)12%SEASONND FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MIARED ZONETRIPS / G5.4TOUCHDOWNS34FIELD GOALS5EMPTY4+16 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MIA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NDOFFENSEvsMIADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEND RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)36TRIPS67%SEASONMIA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS56%SEASONND SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)19%SEASONMIA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NDRED ZONETRIPS / G4.5TOUCHDOWNS24FIELD GOALS7EMPTY5+15 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ND KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3986%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MIA 8, ND 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.