Gridiron Core

Visitors 438 total, 239 passing, 200 rushing. Home 388 total, 226 passing, 162 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB48GASTEVEN+246MRSHMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackGAST edge
  • Dropback successGAST edge
  • Completion over expectedMRSH edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMRSH edge
  • Sack avoidanceGAST edge
Rush54GASTEVEN+054MRSHHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAGAST edge
  • Rush successMRSH edge
  • Stuff avoidanceGAST edge
  • Explosive runsMRSH edge
  • Short yardageMRSH edge
Pass51GASTEVEN+447MRSHMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAGAST edge
  • Pass successGAST edge
  • Explosive passesMRSH edge
  • ProtectionGAST edge
  • Completion over expectedMRSH edge
Trenches52GASTEVEN+548MRSHMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlGAST edge
  • Pass protectionGAST edge
  • Short-yardage blockingMRSH edge
  • Stuff creationGAST edge
  • Pressure creationGAST edge
  • Short-yardage defenseMRSH edge
Explosive51GASTEVEN+253MRSHHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMRSH edge
  • Explosive passesMRSH edge
  • Explosive runsMRSH edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionMRSH edge
Resilience50GASTEVEN+446MRSHHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseGAST edge
  • Defensive responseGAST edge
  • Momentum reversalGAST edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksGAST edge
  • Mistake avoidanceGAST edge
GASTOFFENSEvsMRSHDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEGAST RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS59%SEASONMRSH RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONGAST SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONMRSH FORCED FG(DEFENSE)35%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)GASTRED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS8EMPTY6+13 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | GAST KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3983%40 - 4975%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MRSHOFFENSEvsGASTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMRSH RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)36TRIPS42%SEASONGAST RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS59%SEASONMRSH SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)39%SEASONGAST FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MRSHRED ZONETRIPS / G4.5TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS12EMPTY9+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MRSH KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2980%30 - 3988%40 - 4967%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (GAST 8, MRSH 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.