Gridiron Core

Visitors 369 total, 221 passing, 148 rushing. Home 345 total, 198 passing, 146 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB47WKUEVEN+047MTSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackWKU edge
  • Dropback successWKU edge
  • Completion over expectedWKU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMTSU edge
  • Sack avoidanceMTSU edge
Rush59WKUSLIGHTWKU+851MTSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAWKU edge
  • Rush successWKU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceWKU edge
  • Explosive runsWKU edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass49WKUEVEN+346MTSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAWKU edge
  • Pass successWKU edge
  • Explosive passesWKU edge
  • ProtectionMTSU edge
  • Completion over expectedWKU edge
Trenches50WKUEVEN+050MTSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlWKU edge
  • Pass protectionMTSU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationWKU edge
  • Pressure creationMTSU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive56WKUSLIGHTWKU+1046MTSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateWKU edge
  • Explosive passesWKU edge
  • Explosive runsWKU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeWKU edge
  • Explosive preventionWKU edge
Resilience47WKUEVEN+552MTSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseMTSU edge
  • Defensive responseMTSU edge
  • Momentum reversalMTSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMTSU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMTSU edge
WKUOFFENSEvsMTSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEWKU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)24TRIPS58%SEASONMTSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS65%SEASONWKU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONMTSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)WKURED ZONETRIPS / G3.0TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS5EMPTY5+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | WKU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29—30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MTSUOFFENSEvsWKUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMTSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)18TRIPS67%SEASONWKU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS75%SEASONMTSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONWKU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MTSURED ZONETRIPS / G2.3TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS3EMPTY3+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MTSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+75%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (WKU 8, MTSU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.