Gridiron Core

Visitors 280 total, 144 passing, 136 rushing. Home 326 total, 208 passing, 118 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB50UTEPEVEN+252NIUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successUTEP edge
  • Completion over expectedUTEP edge
  • Turnover avoidanceNIU edge
  • Sack avoidanceNIU edge
Rush61UTEPEVEN+258NIUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUTEP edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceUTEP edge
  • Explosive runsUTEP edge
  • Short yardageNIU edge
Pass48UTEPEVEN+351NIUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successUTEP edge
  • Explosive passesNIU edge
  • ProtectionNIU edge
  • Completion over expectedUTEP edge
Trenches45UTEPCLEARNIU+1055NIUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUTEP edge
  • Pass protectionNIU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingNIU edge
  • Stuff creationUTEP edge
  • Pressure creationNIU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseNIU edge
Explosive51UTEPEVEN+150NIUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesNIU edge
  • Explosive runsUTEP edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUTEP edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience39UTEPEVEN+544NIUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNIU edge
  • Defensive responseNIU edge
  • Momentum reversalNIU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUTEP edge
  • Mistake avoidanceNIU edge
UTEPOFFENSEvsNIUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUTEP RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)17TRIPS47%SEASONNIU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)34TRIPS68%SEASONUTEP SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONNIU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)12%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UTEPRED ZONETRIPS / G2.1TOUCHDOWNS8FIELD GOALS2EMPTY7+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UTEP KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29—30 - 3950%40 - 4933%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NIUOFFENSEvsUTEPDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENIU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS47%SEASONUTEP RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)33TRIPS64%SEASONNIU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)16%SEASONUTEP FORCED FG(DEFENSE)33%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NIURED ZONETRIPS / G2.4TOUCHDOWNS9FIELD GOALS2EMPTY8+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NIU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3950%40 - 4960%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (UTEP 8, NIU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.