Gridiron Core

Visitors 446 total, 278 passing, 168 rushing. Home 358 total, 275 passing, 83 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB51PITTEVEN+348CALMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackPITT edge
  • Dropback successPITT edge
  • Completion over expectedCAL edge
  • Turnover avoidanceCAL edge
  • Sack avoidancePITT edge
Rush59PITTSTRONGPITT+2633CALMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAPITT edge
  • Rush successPITT edge
  • Stuff avoidancePITT edge
  • Explosive runsPITT edge
  • Short yardagePITT edge
Pass52PITTSLIGHTPITT+744CALMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAPITT edge
  • Pass successPITT edge
  • Explosive passesPITT edge
  • ProtectionPITT edge
  • Completion over expectedCAL edge
Trenches60PITTSTRONGPITT+2140CALMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlPITT edge
  • Pass protectionPITT edge
  • Short-yardage blockingPITT edge
  • Stuff creationPITT edge
  • Pressure creationPITT edge
  • Short-yardage defensePITT edge
Explosive58PITTSTRONGPITT+1840CALHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play ratePITT edge
  • Explosive passesPITT edge
  • Explosive runsPITT edge
  • Breakaway magnitudePITT edge
  • Explosive preventionPITT edge
Resilience49PITTEVEN+544CALHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responsePITT edge
  • Defensive responsePITT edge
  • Momentum reversalPITT edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksCAL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceCAL edge
PITTOFFENSEvsCALDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEPITT RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS56%SEASONCAL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)35TRIPS63%SEASONPITT SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)26%SEASONCAL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)PITTRED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS9EMPTY6+16 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | PITT KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)CALOFFENSEvsPITTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECAL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)27TRIPS56%SEASONPITT RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS59%SEASONCAL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)33%SEASONPITT FORCED FG(DEFENSE)21%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CALRED ZONETRIPS / G3.0TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS8EMPTY4+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CAL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3988%40 - 4933%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (PITT 9, CAL 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.