Gridiron Core

Visitors 332 total, 210 passing, 122 rushing. Home 379 total, 243 passing, 136 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB50ULMEVEN+455ARSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackARST edge
  • Dropback successARST edge
  • Completion over expectedARST edge
  • Turnover avoidanceARST edge
  • Sack avoidanceULM edge
Rush54ULMEVEN+356ARSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAARST edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceARST edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageARST edge
Pass52ULMEVEN+253ARSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAARST edge
  • Pass successARST edge
  • Explosive passesULM edge
  • ProtectionULM edge
  • Completion over expectedARST edge
Trenches52ULMEVEN+448ARSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlARST edge
  • Pass protectionULM edge
  • Short-yardage blockingARST edge
  • Stuff creationARST edge
  • Pressure creationULM edge
  • Short-yardage defenseARST edge
Explosive51ULMEVEN+150ARSTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateULM edge
  • Explosive passesULM edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeARST edge
  • Explosive preventionULM edge
Resilience47ULMEVEN+451ARSTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseARST edge
  • Defensive responseARST edge
  • Momentum reversalARST edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksULM edge
  • Mistake avoidanceULM edge
ULMOFFENSEvsARSTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEULM RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS64%SEASONARST RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS72%SEASONULM SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONARST FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ULMRED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS4EMPTY4+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ULM KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2950%30 - 39100%40 - 4925%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ARSTOFFENSEvsULMDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEARST RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS69%SEASONULM RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS62%SEASONARST SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONULM FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ARSTRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS6EMPTY3+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ARST KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4943%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ULM 8, ARST 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.