Gridiron Core

Visitors 485 total, 259 passing, 227 rushing. Home 391 total, 276 passing, 115 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB49UTAHSLIGHTUTAH+643TCUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUTAH edge
  • Dropback successUTAH edge
  • Completion over expectedUTAH edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUTAH edge
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush48UTAHSLIGHTUTAH+840TCUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUTAH edge
  • Rush successUTAH edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUTAH edge
  • Explosive runsUTAH edge
  • Short yardageUTAH edge
Pass49UTAHEVEN+545TCUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUTAH edge
  • Pass successUTAH edge
  • Explosive passesTCU edge
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedUTAH edge
Trenches52UTAHEVEN+548TCUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUTAH edge
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingUTAH edge
  • Stuff creationUTAH edge
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseUTAH edge
Explosive53UTAHSLIGHTUTAH+547TCUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUTAH edge
  • Explosive passesTCU edge
  • Explosive runsUTAH edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionUTAH edge
Resilience52UTAHEVEN+456TCUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUTAH edge
  • Defensive responseTCU edge
  • Momentum reversalUTAH edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTCU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUTAH edge
UTAHOFFENSEvsTCUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUTAH RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)41TRIPS71%SEASONTCU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS45%SEASONUTAH SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONTCU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)36%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UTAHRED ZONETRIPS / G5.1TOUCHDOWNS29FIELD GOALS5EMPTY7+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UTAH KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3933%40 - 49—50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)TCUOFFENSEvsUTAHDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETCU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS59%SEASONUTAH RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS45%SEASONTCU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONUTAH FORCED FG(DEFENSE)23%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TCURED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS17FIELD GOALS6EMPTY6+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TCU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (UTAH 8, TCU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.