Gridiron Core

Visitors 408 total, 247 passing, 162 rushing. Home 440 total, 282 passing, 158 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB45MSSTCLEARMISS+1761MISSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackMISS edge
  • Dropback successMISS edge
  • Completion over expectedMISS edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMISS edge
  • Sack avoidanceMISS edge
Rush46MSSTSLIGHTMISS+955MISSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successMISS edge
  • Stuff avoidanceMISS edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageMISS edge
Pass45MSSTCLEARMISS+1560MISSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAMISS edge
  • Pass successMISS edge
  • Explosive passesMSST edge
  • ProtectionMISS edge
  • Completion over expectedMISS edge
Trenches41MSSTSTRONGMISS+1859MISSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlMISS edge
  • Pass protectionMISS edge
  • Short-yardage blockingMISS edge
  • Stuff creationMISS edge
  • Pressure creationMISS edge
  • Short-yardage defenseMISS edge
Explosive51MSSTEVEN+249MISSHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMSST edge
  • Explosive passesMSST edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionMSST edge
Resilience44MSSTSLIGHTMISS+751MISSHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseMISS edge
  • Defensive responseMISS edge
  • Momentum reversalMISS edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceMSST edge
MSSTOFFENSEvsMISSDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMSST RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONMISS RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)33TRIPS45%SEASONMSST SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)31%SEASONMISS FORCED FG(DEFENSE)33%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MSSTRED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+13 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MSST KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2967%30 - 3980%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MISSOFFENSEvsMSSTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMISS RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS84%SEASONMSST RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS59%SEASONMISS SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)13%SEASONMSST FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MISSRED ZONETRIPS / G3.9TOUCHDOWNS26FIELD GOALS3EMPTY2+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MISS KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4986%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MSST 8, MISS 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.