Gridiron Core

Visitors 412 total, 260 passing, 152 rushing. Home 343 total, 237 passing, 106 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB63ALACLEARALA+1449VANMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackALA edge
  • Dropback successALA edge
  • Completion over expectedALA edge
  • Turnover avoidanceALA edge
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush59ALASTRONGALA+2039VANMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAALA edge
  • Rush successALA edge
  • Stuff avoidanceALA edge
  • Explosive runsALA edge
  • Short yardageALA edge
Pass61ALASLIGHTALA+952VANMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAALA edge
  • Pass successALA edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedALA edge
Trenches55ALASLIGHTALA+945VANMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlALA edge
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingALA edge
  • Stuff creationALA edge
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseALA edge
Explosive56ALACLEARALA+1244VANHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateALA edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsALA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeALA edge
  • Explosive preventionALA edge
Resilience53ALACLEARALA+1241VANHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseALA edge
  • Defensive responseALA edge
  • Momentum reversalALA edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceALA edge
ALAOFFENSEvsVANDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEALA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS79%SEASONVAN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS70%SEASONALA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)15%SEASONVAN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)15%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ALARED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS27FIELD GOALS4EMPTY3+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ALA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 4986%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)VANOFFENSEvsALADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEVAN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS70%SEASONALA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS56%SEASONVAN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONALA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)44%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)VANRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS16FIELD GOALS4EMPTY3+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | VAN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29—30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ALA 8, VAN 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.