Gridiron Core

Visitors 367 total, 238 passing, 129 rushing. Home 380 total, 263 passing, 117 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB55MDEVEN+253PURMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successMD edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
  • Turnover avoidanceMD edge
  • Sack avoidanceMD edge
Rush50MDEVEN+151PURMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAMD edge
  • Rush successPUR edge
  • Stuff avoidancePUR edge
  • Explosive runsMD edge
  • Short yardagePUR edge
Pass59MDEVEN+355PURMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successMD edge
  • Explosive passesMD edge
  • ProtectionMD edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
Trenches50MDEVEN+150PURMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlPUR edge
  • Pass protectionMD edge
  • Short-yardage blockingPUR edge
  • Stuff creationPUR edge
  • Pressure creationMD edge
  • Short-yardage defensePUR edge
Explosive55MDSLIGHTMD+649PURHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMD edge
  • Explosive passesMD edge
  • Explosive runsMD edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeMD edge
  • Explosive preventionMD edge
Resilience48MDEVEN+148PURHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responsePUR edge
  • Defensive responseMD edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMD edge
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
MDOFFENSEvsPURDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMD RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS70%SEASONPUR RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS74%SEASONMD SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONPUR FORCED FG(DEFENSE)23%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MDRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS23FIELD GOALS5EMPTY5+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MD KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)PUROFFENSEvsMDDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEPUR RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS59%SEASONMD RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS80%SEASONPUR SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONMD FORCED FG(DEFENSE)16%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)PURRED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS11EMPTY3+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | PUR KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MD 8, PUR 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.