Gridiron Core

Visitors 394 total, 230 passing, 164 rushing. Home 428 total, 208 passing, 220 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB34ILLSTRONGUCLA+2256UCLAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUCLA edge
  • Dropback successUCLA edge
  • Completion over expectedUCLA edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUCLA edge
  • Sack avoidanceUCLA edge
Rush41ILLCLEARUCLA+1557UCLAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUCLA edge
  • Rush successUCLA edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUCLA edge
  • Explosive runsUCLA edge
  • Short yardageILL edge
Pass39ILLCLEARUCLA+1857UCLAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUCLA edge
  • Pass successUCLA edge
  • Explosive passesUCLA edge
  • ProtectionUCLA edge
  • Completion over expectedUCLA edge
Trenches45ILLCLEARUCLA+1055UCLAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUCLA edge
  • Pass protectionUCLA edge
  • Short-yardage blockingILL edge
  • Stuff creationUCLA edge
  • Pressure creationUCLA edge
  • Short-yardage defenseILL edge
Explosive47ILLSLIGHTUCLA+753UCLAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUCLA edge
  • Explosive passesUCLA edge
  • Explosive runsUCLA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUCLA edge
  • Explosive preventionUCLA edge
Resilience55ILLEVEN+451UCLAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseILL edge
  • Defensive responseUCLA edge
  • Momentum reversalILL edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksILL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceILL edge
ILLOFFENSEvsUCLADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEILL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS65%SEASONUCLA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS50%SEASONILL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONUCLA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)22%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ILLRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS3EMPTY5+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ILL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)UCLAOFFENSEvsILLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUCLA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)36TRIPS58%SEASONILL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS66%SEASONUCLA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)19%SEASONILL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)31%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UCLARED ZONETRIPS / G4.5TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS6EMPTY9+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UCLA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2975%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ILL 8, UCLA 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.