Gridiron Core

Visitors 421 total, 236 passing, 185 rushing. Home 535 total, 332 passing, 203 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB60DUKEEVEN+161MIAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackDUKE edge
  • Dropback successMIA edge
  • Completion over expectedMIA edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMIA edge
  • Sack avoidanceDUKE edge
Rush44DUKESLIGHTMIA+650MIAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPADUKE edge
  • Rush successMIA edge
  • Stuff avoidanceMIA edge
  • Explosive runsMIA edge
  • Short yardageDUKE edge
Pass60DUKEEVEN+159MIAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPADUKE edge
  • Pass successMIA edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionDUKE edge
  • Completion over expectedMIA edge
Trenches51DUKEEVEN+149MIAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlMIA edge
  • Pass protectionDUKE edge
  • Short-yardage blockingDUKE edge
  • Stuff creationMIA edge
  • Pressure creationDUKE edge
  • Short-yardage defenseDUKE edge
Explosive51DUKEEVEN+152MIAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsMIA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeDUKE edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience56DUKEEVEN+460MIAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseMIA edge
  • Defensive responseMIA edge
  • Momentum reversalMIA edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksDUKE edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMIA edge
DUKEOFFENSEvsMIADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEDUKE RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS62%SEASONMIA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS56%SEASONDUKE SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONMIA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)DUKERED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS8EMPTY5+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | DUKE KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MIAOFFENSEvsDUKEDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMIA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)43TRIPS79%SEASONDUKE RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)20TRIPS50%SEASONMIA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)12%SEASONDUKE FORCED FG(DEFENSE)25%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MIARED ZONETRIPS / G5.4TOUCHDOWNS34FIELD GOALS5EMPTY4+16 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MIA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (DUKE 8, MIA 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.