Gridiron Core

Visitors 318 total, 180 passing, 138 rushing. Home 380 total, 263 passing, 117 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB54WISSLIGHTWIS+747PURMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackWIS edge
  • Dropback successWIS edge
  • Completion over expectedPUR edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush52WISSLIGHTWIS+942PURMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAWIS edge
  • Rush successWIS edge
  • Stuff avoidanceWIS edge
  • Explosive runsWIS edge
  • Short yardageWIS edge
Pass57WISCLEARWIS+1147PURMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAWIS edge
  • Pass successWIS edge
  • Explosive passesWIS edge
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedPUR edge
Trenches53WISSLIGHTWIS+647PURMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlWIS edge
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingWIS edge
  • Stuff creationWIS edge
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseWIS edge
Explosive59WISSTRONGWIS+1940PURHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateWIS edge
  • Explosive passesWIS edge
  • Explosive runsWIS edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeWIS edge
  • Explosive preventionWIS edge
Resilience47WISEVEN+148PURMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responsePUR edge
  • Defensive responseWIS edge
  • Momentum reversalPUR edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksWIS edge
  • Mistake avoidancePUR edge
WISOFFENSEvsPURDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEWIS RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS48%SEASONPUR RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS74%SEASONWIS SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)39%SEASONPUR FORCED FG(DEFENSE)23%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)WISRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS11FIELD GOALS8EMPTY4+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | WIS KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4967%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)PUROFFENSEvsWISDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEPUR RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS59%SEASONWIS RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS42%SEASONPUR SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONWIS FORCED FG(DEFENSE)50%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)PURRED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS11EMPTY3+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | PUR KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (WIS 8, PUR 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.