Gridiron Core

Visitors 426 total, 249 passing, 177 rushing. Home 414 total, 249 passing, 166 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB56FLAEVEN+552FSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackFSU edge
  • Dropback successFLA edge
  • Completion over expectedFLA edge
  • Turnover avoidanceFLA edge
  • Sack avoidanceFLA edge
Rush48FLASLIGHTFSU+654FSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAFLA edge
  • Rush successFSU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceFSU edge
  • Explosive runsFSU edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass54FLAEVEN+153FSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAFSU edge
  • Pass successFLA edge
  • Explosive passesFSU edge
  • ProtectionFLA edge
  • Completion over expectedFLA edge
Trenches48FLAEVEN+452FSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlFSU edge
  • Pass protectionFLA edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationFSU edge
  • Pressure creationFLA edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive46FLACLEARFSU+1056FSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateFSU edge
  • Explosive passesFSU edge
  • Explosive runsFSU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeFSU edge
  • Explosive preventionFSU edge
Resilience49FLASLIGHTFLA+643FSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseFLA edge
  • Defensive responseEven
  • Momentum reversalFLA edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksFLA edge
  • Mistake avoidanceFLA edge
FLAOFFENSEvsFSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEFLA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)35TRIPS74%SEASONFSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS62%SEASONFLA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONFSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)23%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)FLARED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS26FIELD GOALS6EMPTY3+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | FLA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39—40 - 4980%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)FSUOFFENSEvsFLADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEFSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)30TRIPS70%SEASONFLA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS57%SEASONFSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONFLA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)32%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)FSURED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS5EMPTY4+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | FSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (FLA 8, FSU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.