Gridiron Core

Visitors 492 total, 267 passing, 225 rushing. Home 386 total, 219 passing, 167 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB55LOUEVEN+154UKMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successLOU edge
  • Completion over expectedLOU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUK edge
  • Sack avoidanceLOU edge
Rush55LOUEVEN+253UKMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPALOU edge
  • Rush successLOU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUK edge
  • Explosive runsLOU edge
  • Short yardageLOU edge
Pass57LOUSLIGHTLOU+651UKMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successLOU edge
  • Explosive passesLOU edge
  • ProtectionLOU edge
  • Completion over expectedLOU edge
Trenches47LOUSLIGHTUK+653UKMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUK edge
  • Pass protectionLOU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingLOU edge
  • Stuff creationUK edge
  • Pressure creationLOU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseLOU edge
Explosive61LOUSTRONGLOU+2141UKHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateLOU edge
  • Explosive passesLOU edge
  • Explosive runsLOU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeLOU edge
  • Explosive preventionLOU edge
Resilience55LOUEVEN+155UKHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseLOU edge
  • Defensive responseUK edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceUK edge
LOUOFFENSEvsUKDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATELOU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)30TRIPS70%SEASONUK RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS63%SEASONLOU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONUK FORCED FG(DEFENSE)23%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)LOURED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS4EMPTY5+21 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | LOU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4960%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)UKOFFENSEvsLOUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUK RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)38TRIPS63%SEASONLOU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS47%SEASONUK SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)24%SEASONLOU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UKRED ZONETRIPS / G4.8TOUCHDOWNS24FIELD GOALS6EMPTY8+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UK KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2975%30 - 3980%40 - 4950%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (LOU 8, UK 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.