Gridiron Core

Visitors 451 total, 251 passing, 200 rushing. Home 440 total, 282 passing, 158 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB54UGAEVEN+450MISSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUGA edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedUGA edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUGA edge
  • Sack avoidanceUGA edge
Rush54UGASLIGHTUGA+649MISSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUGA edge
  • Rush successUGA edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUGA edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageUGA edge
Pass55UGAEVEN+551MISSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUGA edge
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesUGA edge
  • ProtectionUGA edge
  • Completion over expectedUGA edge
Trenches52UGAEVEN+348MISSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUGA edge
  • Pass protectionUGA edge
  • Short-yardage blockingUGA edge
  • Stuff creationUGA edge
  • Pressure creationUGA edge
  • Short-yardage defenseUGA edge
Explosive54UGASLIGHTUGA+747MISSHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUGA edge
  • Explosive passesUGA edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeUGA edge
  • Explosive preventionUGA edge
Resilience50UGAEVEN+151MISSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseMISS edge
  • Defensive responseEven
  • Momentum reversalMISS edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUGA edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUGA edge
UGAOFFENSEvsMISSDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUGA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)37TRIPS78%SEASONMISS RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)33TRIPS45%SEASONUGA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)14%SEASONMISS FORCED FG(DEFENSE)33%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UGARED ZONETRIPS / G4.6TOUCHDOWNS29FIELD GOALS5EMPTY3+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UGA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 4980%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MISSOFFENSEvsUGADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMISS RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS84%SEASONUGA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)16TRIPS75%SEASONMISS SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)13%SEASONUGA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)13%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MISSRED ZONETRIPS / G3.9TOUCHDOWNS26FIELD GOALS3EMPTY2+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MISS KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4986%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (UGA 8, MISS 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.