Gridiron Core

Visitors 457 total, 283 passing, 175 rushing. Home 464 total, 318 passing, 146 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB58WAKEEVEN+360SMUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackWAKE edge
  • Dropback successSMU edge
  • Completion over expectedSMU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceWAKE edge
  • Sack avoidanceSMU edge
Rush58WAKECLEARWAKE+1643SMUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAWAKE edge
  • Rush successWAKE edge
  • Stuff avoidanceWAKE edge
  • Explosive runsWAKE edge
  • Short yardageWAKE edge
Pass57WAKEEVEN+056SMUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAWAKE edge
  • Pass successSMU edge
  • Explosive passesWAKE edge
  • ProtectionSMU edge
  • Completion over expectedSMU edge
Trenches54WAKESLIGHTWAKE+946SMUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlWAKE edge
  • Pass protectionSMU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingWAKE edge
  • Stuff creationWAKE edge
  • Pressure creationSMU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseWAKE edge
Explosive59WAKECLEARWAKE+1642SMUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateWAKE edge
  • Explosive passesWAKE edge
  • Explosive runsWAKE edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeWAKE edge
  • Explosive preventionWAKE edge
Resilience54WAKEEVEN+253SMUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseWAKE edge
  • Defensive responseSMU edge
  • Momentum reversalWAKE edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksSMU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
WAKEOFFENSEvsSMUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEWAKE RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)38TRIPS74%SEASONSMU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS62%SEASONWAKE SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)24%SEASONSMU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)WAKERED ZONETRIPS / G4.8TOUCHDOWNS28FIELD GOALS9EMPTY1+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | WAKE KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)SMUOFFENSEvsWAKEDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATESMU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)37TRIPS70%SEASONWAKE RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS50%SEASONSMU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)22%SEASONWAKE FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)SMURED ZONETRIPS / G4.6TOUCHDOWNS26FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | SMU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2983%30 - 390%40 - 4960%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (WAKE 8, SMU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.