Gridiron Core

Visitors 383 total, 208 passing, 175 rushing. Home 348 total, 228 passing, 120 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB44UNLVEVEN+540SJSULOW confidence

What goes into it

  • Dropback successUNLV edge
  • Completion over expectedUNLV edge
  • Turnover avoidanceSJSU edge
  • Sack avoidanceSJSU edge
Rush58UNLVCLEARUNLV+1148SJSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush successUNLV edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUNLV edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageEven
Pass45UNLVEVEN+441SJSULOW confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass successUNLV edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionSJSU edge
  • Completion over expectedUNLV edge
Trenches51UNLVEVEN+249SJSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUNLV edge
  • Pass protectionSJSU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationUNLV edge
  • Pressure creationSJSU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive50UNLVEVEN+050SJSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience46UNLVSLIGHTSJSU+752SJSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseSJSU edge
  • Momentum reversalSJSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksSJSU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceSJSU edge
UNLVOFFENSEvsSJSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUNLV RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)25TRIPS52%SEASONSJSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS59%SEASONUNLV SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)24%SEASONSJSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)21%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UNLVRED ZONETRIPS / G3.1TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS5EMPTY7+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UNLV KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 490%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)SJSUOFFENSEvsUNLVDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATESJSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS46%SEASONUNLV RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS46%SEASONSJSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)46%SEASONUNLV FORCED FG(DEFENSE)36%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)SJSURED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS11EMPTY3+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | SJSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4960%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (UNLV 8, SJSU 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.