Gridiron Core

Visitors 348 total, 228 passing, 120 rushing. Home 399 total, 59 passing, 341 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB49SJSUCLEARSJSU+1038AFLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackSJSU edge
  • Dropback successSJSU edge
  • Completion over expectedAF edge
  • Turnover avoidanceSJSU edge
  • Sack avoidanceSJSU edge
Rush44SJSUSTRONGAF+2267AFHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAAF edge
  • Rush successAF edge
  • Stuff avoidanceAF edge
  • Explosive runsAF edge
  • Short yardageAF edge
Pass47SJSUSLIGHTSJSU+740AFLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPASJSU edge
  • Pass successSJSU edge
  • Explosive passesAF edge
  • ProtectionSJSU edge
  • Completion over expectedAF edge
Trenches46SJSUSLIGHTAF+854AFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlAF edge
  • Pass protectionSJSU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingAF edge
  • Stuff creationAF edge
  • Pressure creationSJSU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseAF edge
Explosive46SJSUSLIGHTAF+753AFHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateAF edge
  • Explosive passesAF edge
  • Explosive runsAF edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeSJSU edge
  • Explosive preventionAF edge
Resilience52SJSUEVEN+250AFHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseAF edge
  • Defensive responseSJSU edge
  • Momentum reversalAF edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksSJSU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceSJSU edge
SJSUOFFENSEvsAFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATESJSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS46%SEASONAF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS61%SEASONSJSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)46%SEASONAF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)22%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)SJSURED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS11EMPTY3+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | SJSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4960%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)AFOFFENSEvsSJSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEAF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS67%SEASONSJSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS59%SEASONAF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONSJSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)21%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)AFRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | AF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2967%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (SJSU 9, AF 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.