Gridiron Core

Visitors 383 total, 193 passing, 190 rushing. Home 332 total, 210 passing, 122 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB51ULSLIGHTUL+844ULMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUL edge
  • Dropback successUL edge
  • Completion over expectedUL edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUL edge
  • Sack avoidanceULM edge
Rush56ULSLIGHTUL+848ULMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUL edge
  • Rush successULM edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUL edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageUL edge
Pass50ULSLIGHTUL+841ULMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUL edge
  • Pass successUL edge
  • Explosive passesUL edge
  • ProtectionULM edge
  • Completion over expectedUL edge
Trenches53ULSLIGHTUL+547ULMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUL edge
  • Pass protectionULM edge
  • Short-yardage blockingUL edge
  • Stuff creationUL edge
  • Pressure creationULM edge
  • Short-yardage defenseUL edge
Explosive53ULSLIGHTUL+844ULMHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUL edge
  • Explosive passesUL edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeUL edge
  • Explosive preventionUL edge
Resilience57ULSLIGHTUL+1047ULMHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUL edge
  • Defensive responseUL edge
  • Momentum reversalUL edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
ULOFFENSEvsULMDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS69%SEASONULM RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS62%SEASONUL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)19%SEASONULM FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ULRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS6EMPTY4+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ULMOFFENSEvsULDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEULM RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS64%SEASONUL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS68%SEASONULM SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONUL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)18%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ULMRED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS4EMPTY4+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ULM KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2950%30 - 39100%40 - 4925%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (UL 8, ULM 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.