Gridiron Core

Visitors 437 total, 275 passing, 161 rushing. Home 355 total, 187 passing, 168 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB50SYRSLIGHTSYR+645BCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successSYR edge
  • Completion over expectedSYR edge
  • Turnover avoidanceSYR edge
  • Sack avoidanceSYR edge
Rush49SYRSLIGHTBC+655BCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successBC edge
  • Stuff avoidanceSYR edge
  • Explosive runsBC edge
  • Short yardageBC edge
Pass50SYREVEN+445BCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successSYR edge
  • Explosive passesBC edge
  • ProtectionSYR edge
  • Completion over expectedSYR edge
Trenches54SYRSLIGHTSYR+946BCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlSYR edge
  • Pass protectionSYR edge
  • Short-yardage blockingBC edge
  • Stuff creationSYR edge
  • Pressure creationSYR edge
  • Short-yardage defenseBC edge
Explosive42SYRCLEARBC+1759BCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateBC edge
  • Explosive passesBC edge
  • Explosive runsBC edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeBC edge
  • Explosive preventionBC edge
Resilience46SYREVEN+046BCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseSYR edge
  • Defensive responseBC edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksBC edge
  • Mistake avoidanceSYR edge
SYROFFENSEvsBCDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATESYR RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)42TRIPS55%SEASONBC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)32TRIPS59%SEASONSYR SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)33%SEASONBC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)SYRRED ZONETRIPS / G5.3TOUCHDOWNS23FIELD GOALS12EMPTY7+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | SYR KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2988%30 - 3980%40 - 4917%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)BCOFFENSEvsSYRDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS48%SEASONSYR RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS66%SEASONBC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONSYR FORCED FG(DEFENSE)21%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BCRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS4EMPTY11+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3950%40 - 4950%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (SYR 8, BC 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.