Gridiron Core

Visitors 371 total, 177 passing, 194 rushing. Home 419 total, 206 passing, 213 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB49TROYSLIGHTTROY+544USAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackTROY edge
  • Dropback successTROY edge
  • Completion over expectedTROY edge
  • Turnover avoidanceTROY edge
  • Sack avoidanceUSA edge
Rush55TROYEVEN+154USAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successTROY edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUSA edge
  • Explosive runsTROY edge
  • Short yardageUSA edge
Pass48TROYEVEN+246USAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPATROY edge
  • Pass successTROY edge
  • Explosive passesUSA edge
  • ProtectionUSA edge
  • Completion over expectedTROY edge
Trenches46TROYSLIGHTUSA+854USAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUSA edge
  • Pass protectionUSA edge
  • Short-yardage blockingUSA edge
  • Stuff creationUSA edge
  • Pressure creationUSA edge
  • Short-yardage defenseUSA edge
Explosive51TROYEVEN+448USAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTROY edge
  • Explosive passesUSA edge
  • Explosive runsTROY edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeTROY edge
  • Explosive preventionTROY edge
Resilience49TROYEVEN+246USAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUSA edge
  • Defensive responseTROY edge
  • Momentum reversalUSA edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTROY edge
  • Mistake avoidanceTROY edge
TROYOFFENSEvsUSADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETROY RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS64%SEASONUSA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)36TRIPS78%SEASONTROY SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)36%SEASONUSA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)11%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TROYRED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS6EMPTY2+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TROY KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2980%30 - 39100%40 - 4933%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)USAOFFENSEvsTROYDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUSA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS66%SEASONTROY RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS59%SEASONUSA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)25%SEASONTROY FORCED FG(DEFENSE)19%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)USARED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | USA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 4967%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TROY 8, USA 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.