Gridiron Core

Visitors 318 total, 180 passing, 138 rushing. Home 367 total, 238 passing, 129 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB50WISEVEN+446MDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackWIS edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedMD edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMD edge
  • Sack avoidanceMD edge
Rush50WISCLEARWIS+1040MDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAWIS edge
  • Rush successWIS edge
  • Stuff avoidanceWIS edge
  • Explosive runsWIS edge
  • Short yardageWIS edge
Pass53WISSLIGHTWIS+746MDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAWIS edge
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesWIS edge
  • ProtectionMD edge
  • Completion over expectedMD edge
Trenches53WISSLIGHTWIS+547MDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlWIS edge
  • Pass protectionMD edge
  • Short-yardage blockingWIS edge
  • Stuff creationWIS edge
  • Pressure creationMD edge
  • Short-yardage defenseWIS edge
Explosive55WISCLEARWIS+1342MDHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateWIS edge
  • Explosive passesWIS edge
  • Explosive runsWIS edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeWIS edge
  • Explosive preventionWIS edge
Resilience47WISEVEN+148MDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseMD edge
  • Defensive responseWIS edge
  • Momentum reversalMD edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksWIS edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMD edge
WISOFFENSEvsMDDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEWIS RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS48%SEASONMD RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS80%SEASONWIS SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)39%SEASONMD FORCED FG(DEFENSE)16%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)WISRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS11FIELD GOALS8EMPTY4+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | WIS KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4967%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MDOFFENSEvsWISDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMD RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS70%SEASONWIS RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS42%SEASONMD SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONWIS FORCED FG(DEFENSE)50%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MDRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS23FIELD GOALS5EMPTY5+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MD KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (WIS 8, MD 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.