Gridiron Core

Visitors 351 total, 187 passing, 165 rushing. Home 414 total, 71 passing, 343 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB58ECUCLEARECU+1642ARMYLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackECU edge
  • Dropback successECU edge
  • Completion over expectedECU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceECU edge
  • Sack avoidanceECU edge
Rush57ECUEVEN+354ARMYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAARMY edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceECU edge
  • Explosive runsARMY edge
  • Short yardageECU edge
Pass58ECUCLEARECU+1444ARMYLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAECU edge
  • Pass successECU edge
  • Explosive passesARMY edge
  • ProtectionECU edge
  • Completion over expectedECU edge
Trenches59ECUCLEARECU+1741ARMYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlECU edge
  • Pass protectionECU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingECU edge
  • Stuff creationECU edge
  • Pressure creationECU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseECU edge
Explosive48ECUSLIGHTARMY+553ARMYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateARMY edge
  • Explosive passesARMY edge
  • Explosive runsARMY edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeARMY edge
  • Explosive preventionARMY edge
Resilience51ECUEVEN+249ARMYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseARMY edge
  • Defensive responseARMY edge
  • Momentum reversalECU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksECU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceECU edge
ECUOFFENSEvsARMYDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEECU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS45%SEASONARMY RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS68%SEASONECU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONARMY FORCED FG(DEFENSE)27%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ECURED ZONETRIPS / G3.9TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS8EMPTY9+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ECU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ARMYOFFENSEvsECUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEARMY RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS72%SEASONECU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS52%SEASONARMY SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)14%SEASONECU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)34%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ARMYRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS4EMPTY4+14 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ARMY KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 490%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ECU 8, ARMY 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.