Gridiron Core

Visitors 424 total, 294 passing, 129 rushing. Home 428 total, 208 passing, 220 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB36USCCLEARUCLA+1451UCLAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUCLA edge
  • Dropback successUCLA edge
  • Completion over expectedUCLA edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUCLA edge
  • Sack avoidanceUCLA edge
Rush38USCSTRONGUCLA+1956UCLAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUCLA edge
  • Rush successUCLA edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUCLA edge
  • Explosive runsUCLA edge
  • Short yardageUCLA edge
Pass40USCCLEARUCLA+1251UCLAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUCLA edge
  • Pass successUCLA edge
  • Explosive passesUCLA edge
  • ProtectionUCLA edge
  • Completion over expectedUCLA edge
Trenches42USCCLEARUCLA+1758UCLAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUCLA edge
  • Pass protectionUCLA edge
  • Short-yardage blockingUCLA edge
  • Stuff creationUCLA edge
  • Pressure creationUCLA edge
  • Short-yardage defenseUCLA edge
Explosive45USCSLIGHTUCLA+853UCLAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUCLA edge
  • Explosive passesUCLA edge
  • Explosive runsUCLA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUCLA edge
  • Explosive preventionUCLA edge
Resilience54USCEVEN+351UCLAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUSC edge
  • Defensive responseUCLA edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUSC edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUSC edge
USCOFFENSEvsUCLADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUSC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)44TRIPS66%SEASONUCLA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS50%SEASONUSC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)20%SEASONUCLA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)22%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)USCRED ZONETRIPS / G4.9TOUCHDOWNS29FIELD GOALS7EMPTY8+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | USC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3988%40 - 490%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)UCLAOFFENSEvsUSCDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUCLA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)36TRIPS58%SEASONUSC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)34TRIPS62%SEASONUCLA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)19%SEASONUSC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)24%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UCLARED ZONETRIPS / G4.5TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS6EMPTY9+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UCLA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2975%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (USC 9, UCLA 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.