Gridiron Core

Visitors 345 total, 177 passing, 168 rushing. Home 338 total, 196 passing, 141 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB51BUFEVEN+151BALLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedBALL edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceBALL edge
Rush48BUFEVEN+250BALLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successBALL edge
  • Stuff avoidanceBALL edge
  • Explosive runsBALL edge
  • Short yardageBUF edge
Pass51BUFEVEN+151BALLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionBALL edge
  • Completion over expectedBALL edge
Trenches50BUFEVEN+050BALLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlBALL edge
  • Pass protectionBALL edge
  • Short-yardage blockingBUF edge
  • Stuff creationBALL edge
  • Pressure creationBALL edge
  • Short-yardage defenseBUF edge
Explosive49BUFEVEN+150BALLHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsBALL edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeBUF edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience52BUFCLEARBUF+1141BALLHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseBUF edge
  • Defensive responseBUF edge
  • Momentum reversalBUF edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksBUF edge
  • Mistake avoidanceBUF edge
BUFOFFENSEvsBALLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBUF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)39TRIPS51%SEASONBALL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS83%SEASONBUF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)36%SEASONBALL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)10%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BUFRED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS12EMPTY7+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BUF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 4950%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)BALLOFFENSEvsBUFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBALL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS68%SEASONBUF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS61%SEASONBALL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONBUF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)21%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BALLRED ZONETRIPS / G2.4TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS1EMPTY5+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BALL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 290%30 - 3980%40 - 49—50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (BUF 9, BALL 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.