Gridiron Core

Visitors 409 total, 224 passing, 185 rushing. Home 440 total, 330 passing, 110 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB58UTSAEVEN+058FAUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedUTSA edge
  • Turnover avoidanceFAU edge
  • Sack avoidanceFAU edge
Rush63UTSACLEARUTSA+1549FAUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUTSA edge
  • Rush successUTSA edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUTSA edge
  • Explosive runsUTSA edge
  • Short yardageFAU edge
Pass58UTSAEVEN+256FAUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesUTSA edge
  • ProtectionFAU edge
  • Completion over expectedUTSA edge
Trenches50UTSAEVEN+150FAUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUTSA edge
  • Pass protectionFAU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingFAU edge
  • Stuff creationUTSA edge
  • Pressure creationFAU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseFAU edge
Explosive59UTSACLEARUTSA+1841FAUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUTSA edge
  • Explosive passesUTSA edge
  • Explosive runsUTSA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUTSA edge
  • Explosive preventionUTSA edge
Resilience55UTSASLIGHTUTSA+649FAUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseFAU edge
  • Defensive responseUTSA edge
  • Momentum reversalUTSA edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUTSA edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUTSA edge
UTSAOFFENSEvsFAUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUTSA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS59%SEASONFAU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS77%SEASONUTSA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)31%SEASONFAU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)10%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UTSARED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS8EMPTY5+12 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UTSA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 4975%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)FAUOFFENSEvsUTSADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEFAU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS65%SEASONUTSA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS61%SEASONFAU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)19%SEASONUTSA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)FAURED ZONETRIPS / G3.9TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+14 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | FAU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+25%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (UTSA 8, FAU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.