Gridiron Core

Visitors 315 total, 167 passing, 148 rushing. Home 351 total, 187 passing, 165 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB44USFEVEN+143ECUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successUSF edge
  • Completion over expectedUSF edge
  • Turnover avoidanceECU edge
  • Sack avoidanceECU edge
Rush45USFEVEN+243ECUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUSF edge
  • Rush successUSF edge
  • Stuff avoidanceECU edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageEven
Pass43USFEVEN+340ECUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successUSF edge
  • Explosive passesUSF edge
  • ProtectionECU edge
  • Completion over expectedUSF edge
Trenches47USFSLIGHTECU+653ECUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlECU edge
  • Pass protectionECU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationECU edge
  • Pressure creationECU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive52USFSLIGHTUSF+745ECUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUSF edge
  • Explosive passesUSF edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeUSF edge
  • Explosive preventionUSF edge
Resilience51USFEVEN+151ECUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseECU edge
  • Defensive responseUSF edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksECU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceECU edge
USFOFFENSEvsECUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUSF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONECU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS52%SEASONUSF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)42%SEASONECU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)34%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)USFRED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS10EMPTY1+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | USF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3988%40 - 4967%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ECUOFFENSEvsUSFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEECU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS45%SEASONUSF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)19TRIPS32%SEASONECU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONUSF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)47%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ECURED ZONETRIPS / G3.9TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS8EMPTY9+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ECU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (USF 8, ECU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.