Gridiron Core

Visitors 390 total, 263 passing, 126 rushing. Home 388 total, 226 passing, 162 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB49APPEVEN+251MRSHMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successMRSH edge
  • Completion over expectedMRSH edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceMRSH edge
Rush48APPEVEN+351MRSHMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAAPP edge
  • Rush successMRSH edge
  • Stuff avoidanceMRSH edge
  • Explosive runsAPP edge
  • Short yardageMRSH edge
Pass51APPEVEN+051MRSHMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successMRSH edge
  • Explosive passesAPP edge
  • ProtectionMRSH edge
  • Completion over expectedMRSH edge
Trenches46APPSLIGHTMRSH+854MRSHMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlMRSH edge
  • Pass protectionMRSH edge
  • Short-yardage blockingMRSH edge
  • Stuff creationMRSH edge
  • Pressure creationMRSH edge
  • Short-yardage defenseMRSH edge
Explosive55APPCLEARAPP+1045MRSHHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateAPP edge
  • Explosive passesAPP edge
  • Explosive runsAPP edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeAPP edge
  • Explosive preventionAPP edge
Resilience51APPSLIGHTAPP+646MRSHHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseAPP edge
  • Defensive responseAPP edge
  • Momentum reversalAPP edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksAPP edge
  • Mistake avoidanceAPP edge
APPOFFENSEvsMRSHDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEAPP RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)35TRIPS63%SEASONMRSH RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONAPP SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONMRSH FORCED FG(DEFENSE)35%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)APPRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS7EMPTY6+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | APP KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3986%40 - 4975%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MRSHOFFENSEvsAPPDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMRSH RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)36TRIPS42%SEASONAPP RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS62%SEASONMRSH SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)39%SEASONAPP FORCED FG(DEFENSE)35%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MRSHRED ZONETRIPS / G4.5TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS12EMPTY9+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MRSH KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2980%30 - 3988%40 - 4967%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (APP 8, MRSH 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.