Gridiron Core

Visitors 370 total, 193 passing, 177 rushing. Home 359 total, 208 passing, 151 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB52ISUEVEN+556UCFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedUCF edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUCF edge
  • Sack avoidanceUCF edge
Rush45ISUSLIGHTUCF+752UCFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUCF edge
  • Rush successUCF edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageISU edge
Pass54ISUEVEN+054UCFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesISU edge
  • ProtectionUCF edge
  • Completion over expectedUCF edge
Trenches49ISUEVEN+151UCFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionUCF edge
  • Short-yardage blockingISU edge
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationUCF edge
  • Short-yardage defenseISU edge
Explosive55ISUCLEARISU+1045UCFHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateISU edge
  • Explosive passesISU edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeISU edge
  • Explosive preventionISU edge
Resilience51ISUEVEN+250UCFHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUCF edge
  • Defensive responseISU edge
  • Momentum reversalISU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksISU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUCF edge
ISUOFFENSEvsUCFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEISU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONUCF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS55%SEASONISU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)35%SEASONUCF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ISURED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS9EMPTY2+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ISU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)UCFOFFENSEvsISUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUCF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS64%SEASONISU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS74%SEASONUCF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONISU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UCFRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS7EMPTY5+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UCF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4933%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ISU 8, UCF 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.