Gridiron Core

Visitors 384 total, 209 passing, 174 rushing. Home 438 total, 237 passing, 201 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB51IOWASLIGHTNU+556NUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNU edge
  • Dropback successNU edge
  • Completion over expectedNU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceNU edge
  • Sack avoidanceIOWA edge
Rush49IOWASLIGHTIOWA+643NUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAIOWA edge
  • Rush successIOWA edge
  • Stuff avoidanceIOWA edge
  • Explosive runsIOWA edge
  • Short yardageIOWA edge
Pass52IOWAEVEN+356NUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANU edge
  • Pass successNU edge
  • Explosive passesNU edge
  • ProtectionIOWA edge
  • Completion over expectedNU edge
Trenches56IOWACLEARIOWA+1244NUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlIOWA edge
  • Pass protectionIOWA edge
  • Short-yardage blockingIOWA edge
  • Stuff creationIOWA edge
  • Pressure creationIOWA edge
  • Short-yardage defenseIOWA edge
Explosive50IOWAEVEN+353NUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNU edge
  • Explosive passesNU edge
  • Explosive runsIOWA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionNU edge
Resilience56IOWAEVEN+254NUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNU edge
  • Defensive responseIOWA edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksIOWA edge
  • Mistake avoidanceIOWA edge
IOWAOFFENSEvsNUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEIOWA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)25TRIPS60%SEASONNU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS46%SEASONIOWA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)24%SEASONNU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)IOWARED ZONETRIPS / G3.1TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS6EMPTY4+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | IOWA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NUOFFENSEvsIOWADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)35TRIPS69%SEASONIOWA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS43%SEASONNU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)26%SEASONIOWA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NURED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS24FIELD GOALS9EMPTY2+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (IOWA 8, NU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.