Gridiron Core

Visitors 359 total, 208 passing, 151 rushing. Home 446 total, 244 passing, 202 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB47UCFEVEN+249KUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackKU edge
  • Dropback successKU edge
  • Completion over expectedUCF edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUCF edge
  • Sack avoidanceKU edge
Rush47UCFEVEN+148KUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUCF edge
  • Rush successUCF edge
  • Stuff avoidanceKU edge
  • Explosive runsUCF edge
  • Short yardageKU edge
Pass45UCFSLIGHTKU+954KUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAKU edge
  • Pass successKU edge
  • Explosive passesKU edge
  • ProtectionKU edge
  • Completion over expectedUCF edge
Trenches44UCFCLEARKU+1256KUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlKU edge
  • Pass protectionKU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingKU edge
  • Stuff creationKU edge
  • Pressure creationKU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseKU edge
Explosive45UCFCLEARKU+1055KUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateKU edge
  • Explosive passesKU edge
  • Explosive runsUCF edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeKU edge
  • Explosive preventionKU edge
Resilience50UCFEVEN+150KUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUCF edge
  • Defensive responseKU edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUCF edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUCF edge
UCFOFFENSEvsKUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUCF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS64%SEASONKU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS61%SEASONUCF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONKU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)25%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UCFRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS7EMPTY5+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UCF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4933%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)KUOFFENSEvsUCFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEKU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS56%SEASONUCF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS55%SEASONKU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)28%SEASONUCF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)KURED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS18FIELD GOALS8EMPTY6+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | KU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2950%30 - 39100%40 - 4971%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (UCF 8, KU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.