Gridiron Core

Visitors 280 total, 144 passing, 136 rushing. Home 399 total, 59 passing, 341 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB41UTEPSLIGHTAF+950AFLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackAF edge
  • Dropback successAF edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
  • Turnover avoidanceUTEP edge
  • Sack avoidanceAF edge
Rush50UTEPCLEARAF+1868AFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAAF edge
  • Rush successAF edge
  • Stuff avoidanceAF edge
  • Explosive runsUTEP edge
  • Short yardageAF edge
Pass38UTEPCLEARAF+1351AFLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAAF edge
  • Pass successAF edge
  • Explosive passesAF edge
  • ProtectionAF edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
Trenches36UTEPDOMINANTAF+2764AFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlAF edge
  • Pass protectionAF edge
  • Short-yardage blockingAF edge
  • Stuff creationAF edge
  • Pressure creationAF edge
  • Short-yardage defenseAF edge
Explosive49UTEPEVEN+251AFHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesAF edge
  • Explosive runsUTEP edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUTEP edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience39UTEPCLEARAF+1150AFHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseAF edge
  • Defensive responseAF edge
  • Momentum reversalAF edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceAF edge
UTEPOFFENSEvsAFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUTEP RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)17TRIPS47%SEASONAF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS61%SEASONUTEP SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONAF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)22%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UTEPRED ZONETRIPS / G2.1TOUCHDOWNS8FIELD GOALS2EMPTY7+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UTEP KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29—30 - 3950%40 - 4933%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)AFOFFENSEvsUTEPDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEAF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS67%SEASONUTEP RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)33TRIPS64%SEASONAF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONUTEP FORCED FG(DEFENSE)33%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)AFRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | AF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2967%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (UTEP 8, AF 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.