Gridiron Core

Visitors 365 total, 276 passing, 90 rushing. Home 336 total, 169 passing, 167 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB45HAWEVEN+143NEVMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNEV edge
  • Dropback successNEV edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
  • Turnover avoidanceHAW edge
  • Sack avoidanceNEV edge
Rush53HAWSLIGHTHAW+647NEVMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAHAW edge
  • Rush successHAW edge
  • Stuff avoidanceHAW edge
  • Explosive runsNEV edge
  • Short yardageHAW edge
Pass41HAWSLIGHTNEV+646NEVMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANEV edge
  • Pass successNEV edge
  • Explosive passesNEV edge
  • ProtectionNEV edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
Trenches53HAWSLIGHTHAW+647NEVMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlHAW edge
  • Pass protectionNEV edge
  • Short-yardage blockingHAW edge
  • Stuff creationHAW edge
  • Pressure creationNEV edge
  • Short-yardage defenseHAW edge
Explosive42HAWCLEARNEV+1254NEVHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNEV edge
  • Explosive passesNEV edge
  • Explosive runsNEV edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeNEV edge
  • Explosive preventionNEV edge
Resilience54HAWCLEARHAW+1143NEVHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseHAW edge
  • Momentum reversalHAW edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksHAW edge
  • Mistake avoidanceHAW edge
HAWOFFENSEvsNEVDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEHAW RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)30TRIPS47%SEASONNEV RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS67%SEASONHAW SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)33%SEASONNEV FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)HAWRED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS7EMPTY9+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | HAW KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2975%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NEVOFFENSEvsHAWDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENEV RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)24TRIPS54%SEASONHAW RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS72%SEASONNEV SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONHAW FORCED FG(DEFENSE)24%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NEVRED ZONETRIPS / G3.0TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NEV KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (HAW 8, NEV 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.