Gridiron Core

Visitors 411 total, 199 passing, 212 rushing. Home 353 total, 197 passing, 157 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB49LIBCLEARLIB+1633NMSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackLIB edge
  • Dropback successLIB edge
  • Completion over expectedLIB edge
  • Turnover avoidanceLIB edge
  • Sack avoidanceNMSU edge
Rush61LIBCLEARLIB+1744NMSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPALIB edge
  • Rush successLIB edge
  • Stuff avoidanceLIB edge
  • Explosive runsLIB edge
  • Short yardageLIB edge
Pass48LIBCLEARLIB+1335NMSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPALIB edge
  • Pass successLIB edge
  • Explosive passesLIB edge
  • ProtectionNMSU edge
  • Completion over expectedLIB edge
Trenches51LIBEVEN+349NMSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlLIB edge
  • Pass protectionNMSU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingLIB edge
  • Stuff creationLIB edge
  • Pressure creationNMSU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseLIB edge
Explosive59LIBSTRONGLIB+1940NMSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateLIB edge
  • Explosive passesLIB edge
  • Explosive runsLIB edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeLIB edge
  • Explosive preventionLIB edge
Resilience48LIBEVEN+345NMSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNMSU edge
  • Defensive responseLIB edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksLIB edge
  • Mistake avoidanceNMSU edge
LIBOFFENSEvsNMSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATELIB RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)36TRIPS69%SEASONNMSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)35TRIPS60%SEASONLIB SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)22%SEASONNMSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)31%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)LIBRED ZONETRIPS / G4.5TOUCHDOWNS25FIELD GOALS8EMPTY3+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | LIB KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NMSUOFFENSEvsLIBDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENMSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS55%SEASONLIB RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)14TRIPS43%SEASONNMSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)41%SEASONLIB FORCED FG(DEFENSE)43%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NMSURED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS5EMPTY5+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NMSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2980%30 - 3950%40 - 490%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (LIB 8, NMSU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.